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What Moves the Ghana Cedi? A Decomposition of the Main Drivers
Separates foreign-exchange receipts, payments and market conversion from movements in the cedi. Flow reconciliation, monthly proxy models and sensitivity tests show how far the available evidence supports attribution to potential drivers.
Beyond Gross Reserves: Assessing Ghana’s External Liquidity
Distinguishes headline reserve measures from readily available foreign-currency resources and payment capacity. It examines gold valuation, import coverage, external obligations and conditional liquidity scenarios using explicitly defined evidence.
Who Receives Ghana’s Bank Credit? Sectoral Allocation and Enterprise Access
Maps sectoral credit balances, inflation-adjusted growth and enterprise access to finance. The briefing connects allocation diagnostics with measurement choices, sensitivity analysis and separately attributed experimental evidence.
Government Securities and Bank Balance Sheets: Ghana’s Sovereign–Bank Link
Connects government-security exposure with bank capital, asset quality, liquidity and capacity to finance private investment. Source-reconciled accounting and explicit stress tests clarify where bank resilience and lending constraints may interact.
Changing Interest Rates: Implications for Pension Funds, Insurers and Savers
Explores reinvestment income, purchasing power and the matching of assets to future obligations. Ghanaian evidence is combined with transparent valuation, funding and saver scenarios to support exposure-based decisions.
Treasury-Bill Yields and Private-Sector Credit: How Are They Connected?
Investigates the relationship between Treasury-bill yields, business lending rates and banks’ portfolio allocation. Dated financing evidence and exploratory monthly estimates are presented alongside uncertainty and requirements for stronger causal analysis.
Ghana: Macroeconomic Policy and Economic Development, 1992–2026
Reviews Ghana’s macroeconomic policy episodes alongside long-run changes in output, stability, living standards and resilience. Comparative evidence and source definitions help readers distinguish measured outcomes from policy attribution.
From the Policy Rate to the Business Loan: Monetary Transmission in Ghana
Examines how policy signals pass through benchmark rates, loan pricing and access to business finance. It separates rate changes from borrower spreads, fees, collateral conditions and usable liquidity.
Market entry: from attainable demand to a staged decision
Estimate attainable demand with explicit conditional assumptions. Connect contribution, capacity and working capital to entry feasibility. Use sensitivity and the value of information to design a staged pilot.
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