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Investment feasibility and downside testing
Reconstruct incremental project cash from operating assumptions. Calculate downside value, liquidity needs and switching values. Translate uncertainty into evidence requests and conditional investment decisions.
Evaluation design for credible causal claims
Define an estimand and defend a counterfactual comparison. Calculate and interpret DiD and complier effects with their assumptions. Connect uncertainty and incremental costs to a defensible decision.
Pricing evidence: design a test that measures profitable demand
Specify and estimate contribution per eligible offer in a price experiment. Distinguish demand response, elasticity and uncertainty about profit. Design a reproducible pricing decision with guardrails and segment discipline.
Commercial diligence: testing revenue quality
Reconcile reported revenue, corrected recognition, recurring activity and cash collections. Calculate cohort retention without contaminating the denominator with new customers. Design evidence tests that distinguish commercial risk from proven accounting error.
Financial model integrity
Integrate profit, working capital, cash, debt and balance-sheet movements. Diagnose errors with independent mechanical, economic and evidence controls. Test collection scenarios and document reproducible review findings.
Commercial site selection: from catchment evidence to a defensible decision
Design a catchment study with explicit observation units and sampling strata. Calculate anchored site scores and the preference threshold that reverses a ranking. Test operational viability and write an evidence-linked conditional recommendation.
Agribusiness value-chain economics: mass, margin and intervention value
Reconcile moisture-adjusted physical flows and calculate cost per saleable kilogram. Separate actor margins, chain resource costs and working-capital finance. Evaluate a loss-reduction intervention using incremental value and a credible measurement plan.
Lender evidence readiness
Reconcile cash available for repayment and calculate coverage and headroom. Test collection delays, downside debt capacity and borrowing-base availability. Prepare a traceable evidence index and a practical covenant-monitoring plan.
Management dashboards that support defensible decisions
Define reproducible indicators with an explicit observation grain and denominator. Diagnose composition reversals and calculate standardised rates. Connect uncertainty, data quality and action ownership in a dashboard.
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